Forecasting: Methods and Applications / 2nd Edition

Presents a wide range of forecasting methods useful for undergraduate or graduate students majoring in business management, economics, or engineering. Develops skills for selecting the proper methodology. Integrates forecasting with the planning and decision-making activities within an organization. Methods of forecasting include: decomposition, regression analysis, and econometrics. Stresses the strengths and weaknesses of the individual methods in various types of organizational areas. Numerous examples are included Since accurate forecasting requires more than just inserting historical data into a model, Forecasting: Methods and Applications, 3/e, adopts a managerial, business orientation. Integrated throughout this text is the innovative idea that explaining the past is not adequate for predicting the future. Inside, you will find the latest techniques used by managers in business today, discover the importance of forecasting and learn how it's accomplished. And you'll develop the necessary skills to meet the increased demand for thoughtful and realistic forecasts. New features in the third edition include an emphasis placed on the practical uses of forecasting; all data sets used in this book are available on the Internet; comprehensive coverage provided on both quantitative and qualitative forecasting techniques; and includes many new developments in forecasting methodology and practice. Incluye:Fundamentos de previsión cuantitativa; Métodos de series temporales; Análisis de regresión; Modelos econométricos y previsión; Método de Box-Jenkins Frequently there is a time lag between awareness of an impending event or need and occurrence of that event.