Within the realm of quantitative geography, systems modelling is specifically concerned with understanding those relationships that influence the attributes of phenomena located in space and time. The intention is to replicate the main processes influencing a system's behaviour and, thereby, assist its manage ment through a capability to estimate future change. Over the last few decades, one of the major institutional initiatives for promoting such research has been provided by specialised Study Groups and Commissions established by the International Geographical Union (IGU). These scholarly networks have aimed to co-ordinate international research agendas for geographical systems model ling and their activities have been recorded in both edited volumes (Fischer and Getis, 1997) and special issues of learned journals (Wilkinson and Boots, 2000; Leung and Okabe, 2001). Presently, this facilitative task is the charge of the Commission on Modelling Geographical Systems (CMGS) appointed at the IGU Hague Congress in 1996 and chaired by Barry Boots (1996-2000) and Richard Thomas (2000-present). Set against this background, this book provides a perspective on the work of the CMGS from 1996 until the IGU Seoul Congress in August 2000 through a collection of papers first presented to our sessions at this event. Moreover, a number of Japanese delegates were attracted to this Asian venue and their con tributions provide many new ideas concerning the implementation of systems analysis. Front Matter....Pages i-x Introduction....Pages 1-8 Front Matter....Pages 9-9 Geographical Patterns of Urban Residential Development....Pages 13-31 Using Local Statistics for Boundary Characterization....Pages 33-44 Local Spatial Interaction Modelling Based on the Geographically Weighted Regression Approach....Pages 45-69 Understanding Activity Scheduling and Rescheduling Behaviour: Theory and Numerical Illustration....Pages 73-95 Geographical Model of a Self-Organising Megalopolis with Time-Space Convergence....Pages 97-117 Epidemic Modelling of HIV/AIDS Transfers between Eastern and Western Europe....Pages 119-138 Front Matter....Pages 139-139 A Spatial Microsimulation Model for Social Policy Evaluation....Pages 143-168 Analysis of the Effect of Land Use Patters on the Anthropogetic Energy Discharged from Air Conditioning and Hot Water Supply Using a Modified CSU Mesoscale Model....Pages 169-180 Generalised Thünen and Thünen-Ricardo Models for Asian Land Use....Pages 181-199 Balancing Consensus and Conflict with a GIS-Based Multi-Participant, Multi-Criteria Decision Support Tool....Pages 203-233 Grid-Based Population Distribution Estimates from Historical Japanese Topograhical Maps Using GIS....Pages 235-250 GIS Modelling for Rain-Induced Debris-Flow Hazards in a Small Watershed....Pages 251-271 A Geographical Interpretation of Cyperspace: Preliminary Analysis on the Scaling Tendency of Information Spaces....Pages 275-293 On Modelling Internet Transactions as a Time-Dependent Random Walk: An Application of the Retail Aggregate Space-Time Trip (RASTT) Model....Pages 295-316 Development of Disaster Information Network System in the Asian Region: Internet GIS for Disaster Information Management....Pages 317-330 Geographical Conceptualization of Cyberplaces....Pages 331-345 Back Matter....Pages 347-360 This book presents a representative selection of innovative ideas currently shaping the development and testing of geographical systems models by means of statistical and computational approaches. Collectively, the contributions span all geographic scales, deal with both individuals and aggregates, and represent natural, human, and integrated spatial systems. Reflecting current concerns for relevance, each paper has an applied component relating to one or more contemporary issues. Modelling Geographical Systems is relevant to researchers, postgraduates, final-year undergraduates and professionals in the areas of quantitative geography, spatial analysis, spatial modelling, and geographical information sciences. Although not intended as a textbook, this volume would provide a useful supplementary text for courses on quantitative geography and geographical systems modelling in both human and physical geography, and GIS and geocomputation
This book presents a selection of innovative ideas currently shaping the development and testing of geographical systems models by means of statistical and computational approaches. It spans all geographic scales, deals with both individuals and aggregates, and represents natural, human, and integrated spatial systems. This book is relevant to researchers, (post and under)graduates, and professionals in the areas of quantitative geography, spatial analysis, spatial modelling, and geographical information sciences.