信号与噪声 : why so many predictions fail-but some don's = The signal and the noise

2013-8-1 399 td td colspan = 3a class = orange href = publish5086 CITIC Press filter out real signals from a large mass of data. black swan event can be predicted in advance! Statistics or projections are so many people discouraged topic. but this book is about an interesting topic of popular books. baseball game. professional poker player. political elections and other examples will suffice to arouse the reader's curiosity. and even make They avidly read. and which lurks help you make the right prediction of energy. In the era of big data for prediction may tell you imagine completely different. This point of view fresh and original book. as we distinguish prediction about the future which is subjective reality. which is an objective reality. which is predicted noise interference. which is a valuable signal. providing an unexpect...